Speaking of predictive powers, in the h-index alluded to in a previous blog the only newly appointed Nobel winner listed is Negishi at position 379 (!) out of 550 entries. For comparison Buchwald (Buchwald-Hartwig amination) holds position 41 and Trost (allylic asymmetric substitution) number 18 with related reactions based on palladium. The Thompson list turned out equally non-predictive. The journal Chemical & Engineering News on the other hand appears to have a good nose for news. In May of this year their blog started a search for Richard Heck who had apparently disappeared from the radar but was tracked down in the Philippines. Chembark in his prediction had positioned Suzuki/Heck/Sonogashira/Tsuji (not Negishi) at number three.